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FLIGHTS·XAA 603

Will XAA 603 from Morristown to Nantucket arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days XAA603 has arrived on time on 83% of its 6 tracked flights between Morristown and Nantucket — 1 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    99%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    1%
  • Cancelled
    0%
$585 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time99%Delayed1%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arriving
    Opens
    6:22 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
83%on time
1delayed0cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
99%