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FLIGHTS·AY 3601

AY 3601 from Montreal to Chicago was delayed on Sep 13

Over the last 30 days AY3601 has arrived on time on 60% of its 10 tracked flights between Montreal and Chicago — 4 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 54%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 14, 2026, 12:19 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 14, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 14, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC

The journey

Alan Wilson from Stilton, Peterborough, Cambs, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    45%
  • DelayedResult
    54%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$103 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time45%Delayed54%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    3:04 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    1:09 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
60%on time
4delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.