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FLIGHTS·LY 382

LY 382 from Milan to Tel Aviv arrived on time on Sep 15

Over the last 30 days LY382 has arrived on time on 15% of its 26 tracked flights between Milan and Tel Aviv — 21 late and 1 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 23%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 15, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 15, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 15, 2026, 2:16 PM UTC

The journey

Sourcr: Aero Icarus from Zürich, Switzerland Derivative:MathKnight · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    23%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    75%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time23%Delayed75%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:03 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    1:55 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
15%on time
21delayed1cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.