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FLIGHTS·SWA 1578

Southwest Airlines SWA 1578 from Miami to Orlando arrived on time on Sep 20

Over the last 30 days SWA1578 has arrived on time on 81% of its 16 tracked flights between Miami and Orlando — 3 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 75%

Settled on the recorded arrival time against the scheduled arrival fixed when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 20, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 20, 2026, 11:32 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 20, 2026, 11:32 AM UTC

The journey

Luiz Eduardo · CC BY 2.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    75%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    23%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$5 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time75%Delayed23%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    8:34 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    11:33 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
81%on time
3delayed0cancelled
Aug 28Sep 26

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.