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FLIGHTS·FDX 1497

FDX 1497 from Memphis to Allentown was delayed on Sep 17

Over the last 30 days FDX1497 has arrived on time on 20% of its 15 tracked flights between Memphis and Allentown — 11 late and 1 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 54%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 17, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 17, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 17, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    44%
  • DelayedResult
    54%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$177 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time44%Delayed54%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:07 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    10:23 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
20%on time
11delayed1cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.