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FlightsFR 5271

Will Ryanair FR 5271 from Manchester to Barcelona arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 30?

Over the last 30 days FR5271 has arrived on time on 52% of its 25 tracked flights between Manchester and Barcelona — 11 late and 1 cancelled.

The journey

Michael Oldfield · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    39%
  • Delayed
    59%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time39%Delayed59%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:42 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

52%on time
11delayed1cancelled
Aug 31Sep 29

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.