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FLIGHTS·U2 2163

U2 2163 from Manchester to Amsterdam was delayed on Sep 14

Over the last 30 days U22163 has arrived on time on 24% of its 21 tracked flights between Manchester and Amsterdam — 12 late and 4 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 40%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 14, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 14, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 14, 2026, 11:48 AM UTC

The journey

ERIC SALARD · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    58%
  • DelayedResult
    40%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time58%Delayed40%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:02 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    11:49 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
24%on time
12delayed4cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.