American Airlines 8697 Madrid → Sevilla arrived on time on Nov 14
AA8697 flies from Madrid to Sevilla. 67% on time over the last 30 days (27 tracked flights).
On time
77% chance at closeSettled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against the schedule it published when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Nov 14, 2026, 11:45 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Nov 14, 2026, 11:36 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Nov 14, 2026, 12:31 PM UTC
The journey
Final chance
- On timeResult77%
chance of on time
- Delayed21%
- Cancelled2%
Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.
Price history
Current prices are shown above.
Timeline and payout
- Market opens6:22 PM UTC
- Market closes12:00 PM UTC
- PayoutResult: On time · $1.00 per share on the outcome that happens
Recent performance
Recent trades
Rules
Settles "Delayed" if the flight arrives more than the delay threshold after its scheduled arrival, and "On time" if it arrives within the threshold, including exactly at it. We use FAA records for US airports, and the destination airport's own published arrival time and schedule elsewhere. The threshold and scheduled arrival are fixed when the market opens.
Trades accepted after the flight's arrival is first published are voided and refunded in full, fees included. Bonus trades are refunded to your bonus balance. The publication time is the time on the flight-data message, or when an airport's board showed us the arrival. If the recorded arrival time is earlier, that is the cutoff.
Delay threshold: 15 minutes.
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You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
- You have material non-public information about what this market measures.