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FLIGHTS·ANA 105

Will ANA 105 from Los Angeles to Tokyo arrive on time on Sep 14?

Over the last 30 days ANA105 has arrived on time on 94% of its 34 tracked flights between Los Angeles and Tokyo — 2 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

SIA321 · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    88%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    10%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time88%Delayed10%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    4:25 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Instant & automatic
Recent performance
94%on time
2delayed0cancelled
Aug 15Sep 13

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
88%