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FLIGHTS·FI 471
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Will FI 471 from London to Reykjavik arrive on time on Sep 13?

Over the last 30 days FI471 has arrived on time on 75% of its 12 tracked flights between London and Reykjavik — 3 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Live
MarcelX42 · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    71%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    27%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time71%Delayed27%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. In the air
    Opens
    12:03 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Instant & automatic
Recent performance
75%on time
3delayed0cancelled
Aug 15Sep 13

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
On time
71%