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FlightsRK 1273

Will Ryanair UK RK 1273 from London to Edinburgh arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 30?

Over the last 30 days RK1273 has arrived on time on 57% of its 30 tracked flights between London and Edinburgh — 11 late and 2 cancelled.

The journey

Mike Burdett from CROMER, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    53%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    45%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time53%Delayed45%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    10:46 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

59%on time
10delayed2cancelled
Aug 31Sep 29

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.