TAP Portugal 1010 Lisbon → Madrid was delayed on Nov 15
TP1010 flies from Lisbon to Madrid. 79% on time over the last 30 days (28 tracked flights).
Delayed
22% chance at closeSettled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against the schedule it published when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Nov 15, 2026, 8:30 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Nov 15, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Nov 15, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC
The journey
Final chance
- On time76%
- DelayedResult22%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled2%
Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.
Price history
Current prices are shown above.
Timeline and payout
- Market opens12:46 PM UTC
- Market closes8:41 AM UTC
- PayoutResult: Delayed · $1.00 per share on the outcome that happens
Recent performance
Recent trades
Rules
Settles "Delayed" if the flight arrives more than the delay threshold after its scheduled arrival, and "On time" if it arrives within the threshold, including exactly at it. We use FAA records for US airports, and the destination airport's own published arrival time and schedule elsewhere. The threshold and scheduled arrival are fixed when the market opens.
Trades accepted after the flight's arrival is first published are voided and refunded in full, fees included. Bonus trades are refunded to your bonus balance. The publication time is the time on the flight-data message, or when an airport's board showed us the arrival. If the recorded arrival time is earlier, that is the cutoff.
Delay threshold: 15 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
- You have material non-public information about what this market measures.