Will Japan Airlines JL 9408 from Lisbon to Madrid arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 30?
Over the last 30 days JL9408 has arrived on time on 86% of its 22 tracked flights between Lisbon and Madrid — 3 late and 0 cancelled.
The journey
What the market thinks
Connecting- On time74%
chance of on time
- Delayed24%
- Cancelled2%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- In the airOpens12:47 PM UTC
- ClosesWhen the flight arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent performance
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
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