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FlightsTP 944

TAP Portugal 944 Lisbon → Geneva arrived on time on Nov 13

TP944 flies from Lisbon to Geneva. 60% on time over the last 30 days (30 tracked flights).

Settled

On time

77% chance at close

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against the schedule it published when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Nov 13, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC
Recorded
Nov 13, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC
Evidence received
Nov 13, 2026, 11:21 PM UTC

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0
TAP PortugalTP944

Final chance

  • On timeResult
    77%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    21%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.

Price history

Loading price historyOn time77%Delayed21%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Current prices are shown above.

Timeline and payout

  1. Market opens
    12:11 AM UTC
  2. Market closes
    10:25 PM UTC
  3. Payout
    Result: On time · $1.00 per share on the outcome that happens

Recent performance

59%on time
11delayed1cancelled
Oct 17Nov 15

Recent trades

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Rules

Settles "Delayed" if the flight arrives more than the delay threshold after its scheduled arrival, and "On time" if it arrives within the threshold, including exactly at it. We use FAA records for US airports, and the destination airport's own published arrival time and schedule elsewhere. The threshold and scheduled arrival are fixed when the market opens.

Trades accepted after the flight's arrival is first published are voided and refunded in full, fees included. Bonus trades are refunded to your bonus balance. The publication time is the time on the flight-data message, or when an airport's board showed us the arrival. If the recorded arrival time is earlier, that is the cutoff.

Delay threshold: 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
  • You have material non-public information about what this market measures.