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FlightsSWA 261

Southwest Airlines SWA 261 from Las Vegas to Ontario was delayed on Sep 17

Over the last 30 days SWA261 has arrived on time on 83% of its 46 tracked flights between Las Vegas and Ontario — 8 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 60%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 17, 2026, 6:19 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 17, 2026, 6:37 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 17, 2026, 6:37 PM UTC

The journey

Luiz Eduardo · CC BY 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    39%
  • DelayedResult
    60%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$477 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time39%Delayed60%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    8:32 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    6:38 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent performance

83%on time
8delayed0cancelled
Aug 30Sep 28

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.