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FlightsAA 803

Will American Airlines AA 803 from Las Vegas to Miami arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 28?

Over the last 30 days AA803 has arrived on time on 76% of its 33 tracked flights between Las Vegas and Miami — 8 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    45%
  • Delayed
    53%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time45%Delayed53%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    11:45 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

75%on time
8delayed0cancelled
Aug 30Sep 28

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.