Will AAL 4389 from Key West to Washington arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 25?
Over the last 30 days AAL4389 has arrived on time on 82% of its 51 tracked flights between Key West and Washington — 9 late and 0 cancelled.
The journey
Live
What the market thinks
Connecting- On time59%
chance of on time
- Delayed41%
- Cancelled1%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- In the airOpens10:44 PM UTC
- ClosesWhen the flight arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
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