UAL 4954 from Ithaca to Dulles, Sep 22 — market voided
Over the last 30 days UAL4954 has arrived on time on 95% of its 19 tracked flights between Ithaca and Dulles — 1 late and 0 cancelled.
Voided by our team
All positions refundedA member of our team voided this market and refunded every position in full.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time—
- Delayed—
- Cancelled—
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens1:15 AM UTC
- Closes1:07 AM UTC
- SettlesVoided by our team
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.