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FLIGHTS

IAH · completed arrivals ≥ 436 · 2026-09-16

At the airport

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • Yes
    50%

    chance of yes

  • No
    50%
$47 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

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Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    6:02 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    5:00 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

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How it settles

IAH · completed arrivals · 2026-09-16 (America/Chicago). Yes if the final count is ≥ 436; otherwise No.

Only flights scheduled within the airport-local calendar day and reported by its board as arrived or departed count. Cancelled flights do not count. Settlement waits for the complete day and the publication delay; incomplete or missing observations are retried and may require review. A running count is provisional.

The public payload does not identify a verifiable external source for this contract.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Yes
50%