Skip to content
FLIGHTS·HX 246

Will HX 246 from Hong Kong to Shanghai arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 16?

Over the last 30 days HX246 has arrived on time on 70% of its 23 tracked flights between Hong Kong and Shanghai — 6 late and 1 cancelled.

The journey

Live
N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    68%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    32%
  • Cancelled
    0%
$457 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time68%Delayed32%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. In the air
    Opens
    4:05 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
70%on time
6delayed1cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
68%