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FLIGHTS·HX 238
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HX 238 from Hong Kong to Shanghai was delayed on Sep 13

HX238 flies between Hong Kong and Shanghai. No earlier run of this flight has been tracked yet.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 94%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 13, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 13, 2026, 10:48 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 13, 2026, 11:02 AM UTC

The journey

Where it finished

  • On time
    5%
  • DelayedResult
    94%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$505 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time5%Delayed94%Cancelled1%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    4:04 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    11:04 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Resolved: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Delayed
94%
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