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Will HGH see at least 410 arrivals on Sep 27, 2026, airport local time?

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • Yes
    64%

    chance of yes

  • No
    36%
$310 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyYes64%No36%
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At the airport

Timeline

  1. Opens
    5:26 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    4:00 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

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How it settles

HGH · completed arrivals · 2026-09-27 (Asia/Shanghai). Yes if the final count is ≥ 410; otherwise No.

Only flights scheduled within the airport-local calendar day and reported by its board as arrived or departed count. Cancelled flights do not count. Settlement waits for the complete day and the publication delay; incomplete or missing observations are retried and may require review. A running count is provisional.

The public payload does not identify a verifiable external source for this contract.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.