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FLIGHTS·IB 4737

Will IB 4737 from Hebron to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days IB4737 has arrived on time on 92% of its 12 tracked flights between Hebron and Chicago — 1 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Colin Cooke Photo · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    80%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    18%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$60 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time80%Delayed18%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    10:13 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
92%on time
1delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
80%