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FLIGHTS·AV 2281

AV 2281 from Hebron to Chicago arrived on time on Sep 14

Over the last 30 days AV2281 has arrived on time on 82% of its 11 tracked flights between Hebron and Chicago — 2 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 64%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 14, 2026, 11:42 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 14, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 14, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC

The journey

Alan Wilson from Stilton, Peterborough, Cambs, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    64%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    35%
  • Cancelled
    1%
$152 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time64%Delayed35%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:20 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    11:40 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
82%on time
2delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.