CSN 3085 from Guangzhou to Tokyo arrived on time on Sep 12
Over the last 30 days CSN3085 has arrived on time on 55% of its 29 tracked flights between Guangzhou and Tokyo — 13 late and 0 cancelled.
On time
market said 48%Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Sep 12, 2026, 10:55 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 12, 2026, 10:41 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 12, 2026, 10:44 AM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On timeResult48%
chance of on time
- Delayed50%
- Cancelled2%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens7:08 AM UTC
- Closes10:45 AM UTC
- SettlesSettled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
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