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FlightsMF 3714

Will Xiamen Airlines MF 3714 from Guangzhou to Shanghai arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 28?

Over the last 30 days MF3714 has arrived on time on 92% of its 24 tracked flights between Guangzhou and Shanghai — 2 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Masakatsu Ukon · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    63%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    35%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$109 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time63%Delayed35%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    4:06 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

92%on time
2delayed0cancelled
Aug 30Sep 28

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.