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FLIGHTS·VL 948
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VL 948 (Frankfurt-am-Main→Manchester) was delayed · Aug 31

Over the last 30 days VL948 has arrived on time on 63% of its 30 tracked flights between Frankfurt-am-Main and Manchester — 11 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result
Delayed30% implied
No trades yet · starting price even
68%
On time
30%
Delayed
2%
Cancelled
$70 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
  1. Opens
    2:11 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    10:01 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Resolved: delayed · $1.00 / winning share
How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

Recent performance
63%on time
11delayed0cancelled
Aug 3Sep 1

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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