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FLIGHTS·AAL 2102

Will AAL 2102 from Flagstaff to Dallas-Fort Worth arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 16?

Over the last 30 days AAL2102 has arrived on time on 55% of its 42 tracked flights between Flagstaff and Dallas-Fort Worth — 19 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    54%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    44%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$58 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time54%Delayed44%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:36 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
56%on time
18delayed0cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
54%