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Will Rome Leonardo Da Vinci (Fiumicino) see at least 384 arrivals on Sep 27, 2026, airport local time? — Yes

Settled · Result

Yes

market said 50%

Settled on the airport's published count of arrivals for the local day, against the threshold fixed before the day began

Evidence received
Sep 28, 2026, 4:41 AM UTC

Where it finished

  • YesResult
    50%

    chance of yes

  • No
    50%
$248 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyYes50%No50%
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At the airport

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:11 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    10:00 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Yes · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

Rome · completed arrivals · 2026-09-27 (Europe/Rome). Yes if the final count is ≥ 384; otherwise No.

Only flights scheduled within the airport-local calendar day and reported by its board as arrived or departed count. Cancelled flights do not count. Settlement waits for the complete day and the publication delay; incomplete or missing observations are retried and may require review. A running count is provisional.

The public payload does not identify a verifiable external source for this contract.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.