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FLIGHTS·EI 208

EI 208 from Dublin to Manchester arrived on time on Sep 13

Over the last 30 days EI208 has arrived on time on 77% of its 30 tracked flights between Dublin and Manchester — 7 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 61%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 13, 2026, 12:52 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 13, 2026, 1:02 PM UTC

The journey

Adam Moreira (AEMoreira042281) · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    61%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    37%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time61%Delayed37%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    11:03 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    1:03 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Resolved: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
77%on time
7delayed0cancelled
Aug 15Sep 13

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.