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FLIGHTS·FR 816

FR 816 from Dublin to Edinburgh arrived on time on Sep 14

Over the last 30 days FR816 has arrived on time on 50% of its 28 tracked flights between Dublin and Edinburgh — 14 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 35%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 14, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 14, 2026, 8:05 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 14, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC

The journey

Michael Oldfield · CC BY-SA 4.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    35%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    63%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time35%Delayed63%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:11 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    8:09 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
50%on time
14delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.