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FlightsUAL 2625

Will United Airlines UAL 2625 from Denver to San Antonio arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 30?

Over the last 30 days UAL2625 has arrived on time on 90% of its 29 tracked flights between Denver and San Antonio — 3 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0
United AirlinesUAL2625

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    44%
  • Delayed
    55%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$206 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time44%Delayed55%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arriving
    Opens
    6:00 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

89%on time
3delayed0cancelled
Sep 1Sep 30

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

A trade accepted after the flight's arrival was first published is voided and refunded in full, including any fee (a bonus trade to your bonus balance). Publication is dated by the flight-data message's own time, or by when an airport's board served the arrival to us; if the recorded arrival time is earlier, it is the cutoff instead.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.