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FLIGHTS·UAL 4674

UAL 4674 from Denver to Rapid City arrived on time on Sep 19

Over the last 30 days UAL4674 has arrived on time on 63% of its 27 tracked flights between Denver and Rapid City — 7 late and 3 cancelled.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 88%

Settled on the recorded arrival time against the scheduled arrival fixed when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 19, 2026, 5:48 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 19, 2026, 5:43 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 19, 2026, 5:44 PM UTC

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    88%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    12%
  • Cancelled
    1%
$191 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time88%Delayed12%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    7:39 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    5:44 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
63%on time
7delayed3cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.