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FLIGHTS·UAL 5488

UAL 5488 from Denver to Grand Junction was delayed on Sep 19

Over the last 30 days UAL5488 has arrived on time on 87% of its 30 tracked flights between Denver and Grand Junction — 4 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 19%

Settled on the recorded arrival time against the scheduled arrival fixed when the market opened; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 19, 2026, 8:34 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 19, 2026, 9:29 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 19, 2026, 9:29 PM UTC

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    79%
  • DelayedResult
    19%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$70 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time79%Delayed19%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    2:16 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:31 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
86%on time
4delayed0cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.