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FLIGHTS·UAL 5779

Will UAL 5779 from Denver to Aspen arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 22?

Over the last 30 days UAL5779 has arrived on time on 56% of its 27 tracked flights between Denver and Aspen — 12 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported or processed yet. We keep checking authoritative records and valid alternatives; no funds have moved. There is no automatic refund deadline while evidence is missing, and settlement waits until a valid outcome is established under this market's terms.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    34%
  • Delayed
    64%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$87 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time34%Delayed64%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    5:21 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    2:55 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
56%on time
12delayed0cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.