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FLIGHTS·XAA 206

XAA 206 from Dallas to Las Vegas was delayed on Sep 11

Over the last 30 days XAA206 has arrived on time on 25% of its 4 tracked flights between Dallas and Las Vegas — 3 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 32%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 11, 2026, 9:41 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 11, 2026, 9:41 PM UTC

The journey

Where it finished

  • On time
    66%
  • DelayedResult
    32%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$76 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time66%Delayed32%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    2:51 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:42 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
25%on time
3delayed0cancelled
Aug 15Sep 13

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Delayed
32%
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