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FlightsAAL 2047

American Airlines AAL 2047 from Dallas-Fort Worth to Phoenix, Sep 21 — market voided

Over the last 30 days AAL2047 has arrived on time on 63% of its 30 tracked flights between Dallas-Fort Worth and Phoenix — 11 late and 0 cancelled.

Cancelled

No arrival time was ever published

All positions refunded

This flight landed, but no arrival time was ever published for it — the airport's own board does not report one, and no independent tracking covers it. Without that time the outcome cannot be decided, so every position was refunded in full.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0
American AirlinesAAL2047

Where it finished

  • On time
    —
  • Delayed
    —
  • Cancelled
    —
$130 vol

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time—Delayed—Cancelled—
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    4:29 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    1:10 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    No arrival time was ever published

Recent performance

62%on time
11delayed0cancelled
Sep 1Sep 30

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

A trade accepted after the flight's arrival was first published is voided and refunded in full, including any fee (a bonus trade to your bonus balance). Publication is dated by the flight-data message's own time, or by when an airport's board served the arrival to us; if the recorded arrival time is earlier, it is the cutoff instead.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.