AAL 4906 from Chicago to Traverse City was delayed on Sep 14
Over the last 30 days AAL4906 has arrived on time on 70% of its 10 tracked flights between Chicago and Traverse City — 3 late and 0 cancelled.
Delayed
market said 34%Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Sep 15, 2026, 1:47 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 15, 2026, 3:42 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 15, 2026, 3:43 AM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On time64%
- DelayedResult34%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled2%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens6:27 AM UTC
- Closes3:44 AM UTC
- SettlesSettled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
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