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FLIGHTS·UAL 5838

UAL 5838 (Chicago→State College) was delayed · Sep 5

Over the last 30 days UAL5838 has arrived on time on 42% of its 26 tracked flights between Chicago and State College — 15 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result
Delayed48% implied

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 5, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 5, 2026, 10:47 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 5, 2026, 10:52 PM UTC
No trades yet · starting price even
51%
On time
48%
Delayed
2%
Cancelled
$242 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
  1. Opens
    9:04 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    10:53 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Resolved: delayed · $1.00 / winning share
How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

Recent performance
42%on time
15delayed0cancelled
Aug 8Sep 6

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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