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FLIGHTS·UAL 4416

UAL 4416 from Chicago to St Louis, Sep 20 — market voided

Over the last 30 days UAL4416 has arrived on time on 38% of its 29 tracked flights between Chicago and St Louis — 16 late and 2 cancelled.

Cancelled

Voided by our team

All positions refunded

A member of our team voided this market and refunded every position in full.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    —
  • Delayed
    —
  • Cancelled
    —
$81 vol

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time—Delayed—Cancelled—
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:31 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    3:16 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Voided by our team
Recent performance
39%on time
15delayed2cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.