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FLIGHTS·AAL 4645

AAL 4645 from Chicago to St Louis, Sep 22 — market voided

Over the last 30 days AAL4645 has arrived on time on 91% of its 44 tracked flights between Chicago and St Louis — 4 late and 0 cancelled.

Cancelled

No arrival time was ever published

All positions refunded

This flight landed, but no arrival time was ever published for it — the airport's own board does not report one, and no independent tracking covers it. Without that time the outcome cannot be decided, so every position was refunded in full.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    —
  • Delayed
    —
  • Cancelled
    —
$26 vol

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time—Delayed—Cancelled—
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    12:00 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:21 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    No arrival time was ever published
Recent performance
91%on time
4delayed0cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.