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FLIGHTS·ASA 579

Will Alaska Airlines, Inc. ASA 579 from Chicago to Seattle arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?

Over the last 30 days ASA579 has arrived on time on 67% of its 30 tracked flights between Chicago and Seattle — 9 late and 1 cancelled.

The journey

4300streetcar · CC BY 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    66%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    32%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$9 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time66%Delayed32%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    8:00 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
66%on time
9delayed1cancelled
Aug 28Sep 26

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.