Skip to content
FLIGHTS·AAL 4797

Will AAL 4797 from Chicago to Providence arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days AAL4797 has arrived on time on 94% of its 18 tracked flights between Chicago and Providence — 1 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    64%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    34%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$112 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time64%Delayed34%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arriving
    Opens
    3:17 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
94%on time
1delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
64%