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FLIGHTS·AAL 4467

Will AAL 4467 from Chicago to Pittsburgh arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days AAL4467 has arrived on time on 58% of its 26 tracked flights between Chicago and Pittsburgh — 11 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported yet. We keep checking, and the market settles automatically the moment it arrives. There is no deadline, and no funds have moved.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    81%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    17%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$38 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time81%Delayed17%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:47 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    10:24 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
58%on time
11delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.