AAL 2416 from Chicago to Newark was delayed on Sep 15
Over the last 30 days AAL2416 has arrived on time on 68% of its 56 tracked flights between Chicago and Newark — 17 late and 1 cancelled.
Delayed
market said 85%Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Sep 15, 2026, 5:19 PM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 15, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 15, 2026, 7:19 PM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On time14%
- DelayedResult85%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled0%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens9:10 PM UTC
- Closes6:44 PM UTC
- SettlesSettled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
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