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FLIGHTS·UAL 2605

Will UAL 2605 from Chicago to New York arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days UAL2605 has arrived on time on 40% of its 30 tracked flights between Chicago and New York — 15 late and 3 cancelled.

The journey

Live
Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    19%
  • Delayed
    80%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$302 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time19%Delayed80%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arriving
    Opens
    12:35 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
40%on time
15delayed3cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Delayed
80%