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FLIGHTS·AAL 3697

Will AAL 3697 from Chicago to Missoula arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days AAL3697 has arrived on time on 60% of its 35 tracked flights between Chicago and Missoula — 1 late and 13 cancelled.

The journey

Live
Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    38%
  • Delayed
    61%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$269 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time38%Delayed61%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arriving
    Opens
    3:17 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
60%on time
1delayed13cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

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Delayed
61%