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FLIGHTS·AAL 6455

Will American Airlines AAL 6455 from Chicago to Marion arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 25?

Over the last 30 days AAL6455 has arrived on time on 68% of its 28 tracked flights between Chicago and Marion — 9 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported or processed yet. We keep checking authoritative records and valid alternatives; no funds have moved. There is no automatic refund deadline while evidence is missing, and settlement waits until a valid outcome is established under this market's terms.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    71%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    27%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$74 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time71%Delayed27%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    6:53 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    10:42 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
70%on time
8delayed0cancelled
Aug 28Sep 26

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.