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FLIGHTS·AAL 3953

Will AAL 3953 (Chicago→Madison) be on time? · Sep 6

Over the last 30 days AAL3953 has arrived on time on 44% of its 16 tracked flights between Chicago and Madison — 3 late and 6 cancelled.

OPEN
No trades yet · starting price even
74%
On time
24%
Delayed
2%
Cancelled
$52 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
  1. Opens
    7:09 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Instant & automatic
How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

Recent performance
44%on time
3delayed6cancelled
Aug 8Sep 6

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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