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FLIGHTS·UAL 2499

Will United Airlines UAL 2499 from Chicago to Los Angeles arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?

Over the last 30 days UAL2499 has arrived on time on 76% of its 34 tracked flights between Chicago and Los Angeles — 8 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    79%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    19%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$61 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time79%Delayed19%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    2:39 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
76%on time
8delayed0cancelled
Aug 28Sep 26

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.